|Table of Contents|

Prediction of Land Use Structure Change Based onAnnual Transfer Balance Table——A Case Study of Suzhou(PDF)

《南京师大学报（自然科学版）》[ISSN:1001-4616/CN:32-1239/N]

Issue:
2014年04期
Page:
110-
Research Field:
地理学
Publishing date:

Info

Title:
Prediction of Land Use Structure Change Based onAnnual Transfer Balance Table——A Case Study of Suzhou
Author(s):
Qiao Weifeng1; 2; Wang Yahua1; Fang Bin1; 3
(1.School of Geography Science,Nanjing Normal University,Nanjing 210023,China)(2.Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100101,China)(3.Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Materials Cycling a
Keywords:
transfer balance table; land use structure; prediction; Markov; Suzhou
PACS:
F301.23
DOI:
-
Abstract:
The study on land use structure prediction based on annual transfer balance table is less now.With the land use annual transfer balance table from 1998 to 2008 in Suzhou,we use Markov model to simulate,experiment and predict the change of the land use structure in the whole city.We also explore when the land use structure in Suzhou can reach a steady state.The results indicate that it is practical and feasible to use Markov model to predict the land use structure based on annual transfer balance table.By 2020,the area of agricultural land,rural residential area and the uncultivated land will reduce year by year.The cultivated land will reduce most obviously.On the contrary,the area of urban construction land,independent mine land,and land for transportation will increase year by year.The land use structure of Suzhou will be stable by 2042.The study is significant for the further applications of land use annual transfer balance table.

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Last Update: 2014-12-31