|Table of Contents|

TheMulti-ScaleComparisonBetweenChineseInboundTourismandEconomicGrowthBasedonEEMD(PDF)

《南京师大学报(自然科学版)》[ISSN:1001-4616/CN:32-1239/N]

Issue:
2015年03期
Page:
114-
Research Field:
地理学
Publishing date:

Info

Title:
TheMulti-ScaleComparisonBetweenChineseInboundTourismandEconomicGrowthBasedonEEMD
Author(s):
ChenLingling1HeLiang2LiYuxia3
(1.CollegeofHumanities,JinlingInstituteofTechnology,Nanjing211169,China)
(2.InstituteofGeographicSciencesandNaturalResourcesResearch,CAS,Beijing100101,China)
(3.SchoolofGeographyScience,NanjingNormalUniversity,Nanjing210023,China)
Keywords:
EEMDinboundtourismrevenueinboundtouristarrivalsGDPmulti-scale
PACS:
F592.3
DOI:
-
Abstract:
Thecorrectcognitionoflong-termfluctuationofChineseinboundtourism,economicgrowthandtheirrelationshiphasimportanttheoreticalandpracticalsignificanceonfutureinboundtourismdevelopment.Thispapercollectedmonthlydataofforeignexchangerevenueofinboundtourism,inboundtouristarrivals,GDPandtheinboundtourismrevenue′sshareofGDPfromJanuaryin2000toDecemberin2014,basedonwhichthemulti-timescalefluctuationofinboundtourism,economicgrowthandtheirrelationshipwerestudiedthroughthemethodofensembleempiricalmode?decomposition(EEMD).Theresultsshowedthat:(1)Thehighfrequencyfluctuationwithperiodsofapproximate3,6,12monthsaredecomposedfromlong-termtimeseriesofinboundtourismrevenue,inboundtouristarrivals,GDPandtheinboundtourismrevenue′sshareofGDP,whilethecontributionofhighfrequencyfluctuationvarywidelyineverydataseries.(2)Thesustainedrapidgrowthisthemainchangecharacteristicsindataseriesofinboundtourismrevenue,whilethehighfrequencyfluctuationinalltimescaleisthemainchangefeatureininboundtouristarrivals.(3)GDPhasalwaysmaintainedamomentumofrapidgrowth,theperiodicfluctuationcanbeignoredduetotwosmallvariancecontribution.Theinboundtourismrevenue′sshareofGDPhasthemainperiodicfluctuationfeaturewithhighfrequency,supplementedbythelowfrequencyfluctuation,andshowsadiscernibledeclinetrendinthefuture.(4)Tourismconsumptionstructureadjustmentandper-capitaconsumptionenhancementarethekeystoimproveChineseinboundtourismincome.

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Last Update: 2015-09-30