|Table of Contents|

Aging Population,Pension Insurance for Urban and Rural Residentsand Residents’ Consumption—An Empirical Analysis Based on Provincial Panel Data(PDF)

《南京师大学报（自然科学版）》[ISSN:1001-4616/CN:32-1239/N]

Issue:
2019年04期
Page:
162-168
Research Field:
·地理学·
Publishing date:

Info

Title:
Aging Population,Pension Insurance for Urban and Rural Residentsand Residents’ Consumption—An Empirical Analysis Based on Provincial Panel Data
Author(s):
Xue Wei1; Zhao Yuan1; 2; 3
(1.Ginling College,Nanjing Normal University,Nanjing 210097,China)(2.School of Geography,Nanjing Normal University,Nanjing 210023,China)(3.Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application,Nanji
Keywords:
population aging; endowment insurance for urban and rural residents; resident consumption
PACS:
C924.21
DOI:
10.3969/j.issn.1001-4616.2019.04.022
Abstract:
Based on the consumption theory,this paper combines the growing population aging situation in China with the development of urban and rural residents’ pension insurance system to build a multivariate linear regression model,and selects provincial panel data from 2012 to 2015 to conduct empirical research. The results show that:the coverage of pension insurance has a negative effect on household consumption,and the substitution rate is a positive effect; the ratio of old-age dependency ratio to the labor force has a positive effect on household consumption; the ratio of old-age dependency ratio to the labor force increases the development of old-age insurance. These results are inconsistent with the theoretical predictions,so this paper analyzes and proposes the following policy recommendations:(1)It should continue to deepen the reform of the pension insurance system for urban and rural residents;(2)Relevant provisions for delays should be introduced as soon as possible,and at the same time,implement the“comprehensive two-child”policy.

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Last Update: 2019-12-31