|Table of Contents|

Analysis of Factors Influencing the Seniors’ Healthy and LeisureTravel Decision Based on the Probit Model——A Case Study of Jiangsu Province(PDF)

《南京师大学报(自然科学版)》[ISSN:1001-4616/CN:32-1239/N]

Issue:
2016年01期
Page:
117-
Research Field:
地理学
Publishing date:

Info

Title:
Analysis of Factors Influencing the Seniors’ Healthy and LeisureTravel Decision Based on the Probit Model——A Case Study of Jiangsu Province
Author(s):
Tan Zhijuan1Huang Zhenfang2Wu Limin2Zhang Ziang2
(1.Business College,Yangzhou University,Yangzhou 225127,China)(2.School of Geography Science,Nanjing Normal University,Nanjing 210023,China)
Keywords:
healthy and leisure travelinfluential factors of the decisionProbit modelJiangsu Province
PACS:
F590
DOI:
-
Abstract:
Exploiting the questionnaires from 578 senior travellers in Jiangsu Province,the paper quantitatively analyses the relationship between 19 influential factors and decisions of the senior healthy and leisure travellers based on a Bivariate Discrete Probit Choice Model. The influential factors are guided into three main variables:population characteristics,the pull factors of the tourist destinations and the push factors of the tourists. The result shows that the modified visitor decision-influenced Probit model exhibits statistical significance. Age,degree of education,health conditions,the ecological environment of the destination,the leisure endowment supporting facilities,the medical level and the economic conditions of the travellers indicate obvious correlation with the decisions. Among the variables,the age and the degree of education have the negative influence,and the others are positive. The findings have important theoretical significances and application values to guide the development of the senior healthy and leisure tourism in the future.

References:

[1] SHOEMAKER S. Segmenting the nature market:10 years later[J]. Journal of travel research,2000,39(1):11-26.
[2] SOOCHEONG J,CHI-MEI E W. Seniors’ travel motivation and the influential factors:an examination of Taiwanese seniors[J]. Tourism management,2006,27(2):306-316.
[3] 马桂顺,龙江智,李恒云. 不同特质银发族旅游目的地选择影响因素[J]. 地理研究,2012,31(11):2 185-2 196.
[4] GUINN R. Elderly recreational vehicle tourists:motivation for leisure[J]. Journal of travel research,1980,14(1):9-12.
[5] CATHY H C H,LIPING A C,KEVIN K F W. A model of senior tourism motivations:an ecdotes from Beijing and Shanghai[J]. Tourism management,2007,28(5):1 263-1 273.
[6] ROMSA G,BLENMAN M. Vacation patterns of the elderly German[J]. Annals of tourism research,1989,16(2):178-188.
[7] ZIMMER Z,BRAYLEY R E,SEARLE M S. Whether to go and where to go:identification of important influences on seniors’ decisions to travel[J]. Journal of travel research,1995,33(3):3-10.
[8] SHOEMAKER S. Segmentation of the senior pleasure travel market[J]. Journal of travel research,1989,27(3):14-19.
[9] LOUISE H,CARTER R W,SHERRIE W,et al. Profiling the senior traveler:an Australian perspective[J]. Journal of travel research,2002,41(8):23-37.
[10] SOOCHEONG J,SUNNY H. A double-hurdle analysis of travel expenditure:baby boomer seniors versus older seniors[J]. Tourism management,2009,30(3):372-380.
[11] LEO H,HSIEN-TANG T. The study of senior traveler behavior in Taiwan[J]. Tourism management,2003,24(5):561-574.
[12] 蒋祖云,乐祖康. “两江一湖”开拓老年旅游客源市场探微[J]. 旅游学刊,1993,8(3):30-32.
[13] 黎筱筱,马晓龙. 基于群体心理特征的老年旅游产品谱系构建:以关中地区为例[J]. 人文地理,2006,21(1):45-50.
[14] CROMPTON J. Motivation for pleasure vacation[J]. Annals of tourism research,1979,6(4):408-424.
[15] MAYO E J,JARVIS L P. The psychology of leisure travel[M]. Boston:CBI Publishing Co,1981:161-174.
[16] 吴必虎,唐俊雅,黄安民,等. 中国城市居民旅游目的地选择行为研究[J]. 地理学报,1997,52(2):97-103.
[17] 师彦锋,郝索. 西安旅游者决策行为模式及其影响因素的动态研究[J]. 北京第二外国语学院学报(旅游版),2006(7):61-66.
[18] 包亚芳. 基于“推-拉”理论的杭州老年人出游动机研究[J]. 旅游学刊,2009,24(11):47-52.
[19] 贺小荣,罗文斌. 特许经营或管理合同:酒店国际化扩张的战略选择[J]. 旅游学刊,2012,27(12):54-59.
[20] 罗文斌,徐飞雄,DALLEN J T,等. 城市特征对城市游客满意度的影响:基于Probit模型的定量分析[J]. 旅游学刊,2013,28(11):50-56.
[21] 王媛,黄震方. 国内旅游者消费结构及相关行为因素分析:以南京市为例[J]. 南京师大学报(自然科学版),2005,28(4):123-126.
[22] 李松柏. 长江三角洲都市圈老人乡村休闲养老研究[J]. 经济地理,2012,32(2):154-159.
[23] 黄璜. 国外养老旅游研究进展与我国借鉴[J]. 旅游科学,2013,27(6):13-25.
[24] 高静,刘春济. 国际医疗旅游产业发展及其对我国的启示[J]. 旅游学刊,2010,25(7):88-94.
[25] 唐俊雅. 探寻银发市场,开拓老年旅游:对福州市老年旅游市场的分析[J]. 旅游科学,2001,15(1):37-40.

Memo

Memo:
-
Last Update: 2016-03-30