[1]胡 程,丁正山,穆学青,等.长江经济带旅游交通碳排放时空演变及驱动因素[J].南京师大学报(自然科学版),2022,45(01):40-48.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-4616.2022.01.007]
　Hu Cheng,Ding Zhengshan,Mu Xueqing,et al.The Spatio-Temporal Evolution and Driving Factors of Carbon Dioxide Emissions From Tourism Transportation in the Yangtze River Economic Belt[J].Journal of Nanjing Normal University(Natural Science Edition),2022,45(01):40-48.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-4616.2022.01.007]
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长江经济带旅游交通碳排放时空演变及驱动因素()
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《南京师大学报（自然科学版）》[ISSN:1001-4616/CN:32-1239/N]

卷:
第45卷
期数:
2022年01期
页码:
40-48
栏目:
·地理学·
出版日期:
2022-03-15

文章信息/Info

Title:
The Spatio-Temporal Evolution and Driving Factors of Carbon Dioxide Emissions From Tourism Transportation in the Yangtze River Economic Belt
文章编号:
1001-4616(2022)01-0040-09
作者:
胡 程1; 2; 丁正山1; 2; 穆学青1; 2; 郭向阳1; 2; 杜钟婧1; 2
(1.南京师范大学地理科学学院,江苏 南京 210023)(2.江苏省地理信息资源开发与利用协同创新中心,江苏 南京 210023)
Author(s):
Hu Cheng1; 2; Ding Zhengshan1; 2; Mu Xueqing1; 2; Guo Xiangyang1; 2; Du Zhongjing1; 2
(1. School of Geography,Nanjing Normal University,Nanjing 210023,China)(2.Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application,Nanjing 210023,China)
关键词:
旅游交通; 碳排放; 时空演变; LMDI分解模型; 驱动因素; 长江经济带
Keywords:
tourism transportation; carbon dioxide emissions; spatio-temporal evolution; LMDI decomposition method; driving factor; the Yangtze River Economic Belt
分类号:
F592 X24
DOI:
10.3969/j.issn.1001-4616.2022.01.007
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
基于长江经济带1998—2018年各省(市)的面板数据,运用“自下而上”法测度其旅游交通碳排放量,探究其时序演变特征与空间格局,并建立旅游交通碳排放的Kaya恒等式,运用LMDI分解法揭示不同驱动因素对旅游交通碳排放变化的贡献程度. 研究表明:(1)关于时序变化趋势,长江经济带旅游交通碳排放整体呈上升态势,大体可以划分为3个阶段:1998—2003年,碳排放量以10%左右的速率小幅增长; 2004—2009年,碳排放增长率整体较高,峰值出现在2004年(32.12%); 2010年以后,碳排放增长率回落至10%左右.(2)关于空间分布特征,长江经济带旅游交通碳排放总体呈现“东西高中间低”的空间格局,长江上游的四川省与长江下游的上海市在空间上形成了两个明显的高值区.(3)关于驱动因素,旅游交通碳排放的促增因素为旅游者规模、旅游消费水平和能源强度,促降因素主要为旅游产业贡献度、旅游交通运输强度和能源结构,其中旅游者规模是首要的促增因素,旅游产业贡献度是主要的促降因素.
Abstract:
Based on the panel data of the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 1998 to 2018,the“bottom-up”method was used to measure carbon dioxide emissions from tourism transportation. The temporal evolution characteristics and spatial pattern were explored. Meanwhile,the Kaya identity of carbon dioxide emissions from tourism transportation was established. The LMDI decomposition method was chose to reveal the degree of contribution of different driving factors to the changes in carbon dioxide emissions from tourism transportation. Research shows that:(1)Regarding the time-series trend,the overall carbon dioxide emissions from tourism transportation in the Yangtze River Economic Belt is on the rise,which can be roughly divided into three stages:1998-2003,carbon emissions increased slightly at a rate of about 10%; 2004-2009,the overall growth rate of carbon dioxide emissions was relatively high,with a peak in 2004(32.12%); After 2010,the growth rate of carbon dioxide emissions dropped to about 10%.(2)Regarding the characteristics of spatial distribution,the overall carbon dioxide emissions from tourism transportation in the Yangtze River Economic Belt presents a spatial pattern of “high in the east and west,low in the middle”. Sichuan on the upper reaches of the Yangtze River and Shanghai on the lower reaches of the Yangtze River have formed two distinct high-value areas spatially.(3)Regarding the driving factors,the factors that promote the increase of carbon dioxide emissions from tourism transportation are the scale of tourists,the level of tourism consumption,energy intensity. The factors that promote the decline are mainly the contribution of the tourism industry,the intensity of tourism transportation,the energy structure,of which the scale of tourists is the most important promoting factor,the contribution of the tourism industry is the main factor promoting decline.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2021-09-08.
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(41961021、41671147)、江苏省科研创新计划项目(KYCX21_1295).
通讯作者:丁正山,博士,教授,博士生导师,研究方向:区域发展与旅游地理. E-mail:dingzhengshan@263.net
更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01