[1]刘媛媛,陈 娱,王 峰,等.中国收费公路财务状况时空变化与影响因素[J].南京师大学报(自然科学版),2022,45(04):52-59.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-4616.2022.04.008]
　Liu Yuanyuan,Chen Yu,Wang Feng,et al.Spatio-Temporal Evolution and Influencing Factors of Financial Conditions of Toll Roads in China[J].Journal of Nanjing Normal University(Natural Science Edition),2022,45(04):52-59.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-4616.2022.04.008]
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中国收费公路财务状况时空变化与影响因素()
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《南京师大学报（自然科学版）》[ISSN:1001-4616/CN:32-1239/N]

卷:
第45卷
期数:
2022年04期
页码:
52-59
栏目:
地理学
出版日期:
2022-12-15

文章信息/Info

Title:
Spatio-Temporal Evolution and Influencing Factors of Financial Conditions of Toll Roads in China
文章编号:
1001-4616(2022)04-0052-08
作者:
刘媛媛1; 陈 娱1; 2; 王 峰1; 陆玉麒1; 2; 3
(1.南京师范大学地理科学学院,江苏 南京 210023)
(2.江苏省地理信息资源开发与利用协同创新中心,江苏 南京 210023)
(3.南京师范大学乡村振兴研究院,江苏 南京 210023)
Author(s):
Liu Yuanyuan1; Chen Yu1; 2; Wang Feng1; Lu Yuqi1; 2; 3
(1.School of Geography,Nanjing Normal University,Nanjing 210023,China)
(2.Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application,Nanjing 210023,China)
(3.Rural Revitalization Research Institute,Nanjing Normal University,Nanjing 210023,China)
关键词:
收费公路; 时空分布; 影响因素; 地理加权回归
Keywords:
toll roads; spatio-temporal distribution; influencing factors; geographically weighted regression
分类号:
K902
DOI:
10.3969/j.issn.1001-4616.2022.04.008
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
基于2010—2019年我国收费公路统计数据,刻画我国收费公路财务状况时空演进过程,并采用地理加权回归模型探究收费公路收入的影响因素. 研究表明:(1)近10年我国收费公路规模增幅较小,但等级、结构明显调整,高速公路成为主体,形成由东至西等级下降、由北至南经营性公路占比增加的基本格局;(2)收费公路累计投资额和收入均显著增加,但收入增幅低于累计投资额,累计投资额形成东—中—西“反U”型空间结构,收入则呈现东—中—西渐进降低分布; 累计投资额与收入、通行费减免与收入均存在显著相关性,即高投资带来高收入,且执行了较大力度的通行费减免政策;(3)机动车保有量、主要工业品产量、第三产业增加值和常住人口是影响收费公路收入的关键因素,其中,机动车保有量影响程度最大,且呈现由南至北下降格局.
Abstract:
Based on the statistical reports of toll roads in China from 2010 to 2019,this paper describes the spatio-temporal evolution of financial conditions of toll roads in China. And then,the geographically weighted regression model is used to explore the influencing factors of the toll roads annual income. The results show that:(1)In recent 10 years,the scale of toll roads has increased slowly,while the grade and structure of toll roads has changed obviously,expressway becomes the main part of toll roads. The grade decreases from east to west,and the proportion of the commercial roads increases form north to south.(2)The cumulative investment and income of toll roads have increased remarkably,but the growth of income is lower than cumulative investment.Cumulative investment shows an inverse U-shaped pattern,while the annual income decreases from east to west gradually. There is a significant correlation between cumulative investment and income,and between toll reduction and income,that is,high investment brings high income,and the policy of toll reduction and exemption is implemented with great intensity.(3)The number of motor vehicles,the output of major industrial products,the added value of the tertiary industry and the permanent residents are the key factors influencing the income of toll roads,among them,the number of motor vehicles is the main factor and shows a decreasing pattern from south to north.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2022-04-13.
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(42171173、42171171)、江苏省高等学校基础科学(自然科学)面上项目(21KJB170012).
通讯作者:陈娱,博士,副教授,研究方向:交通地理与区域发展. E-mail:chenyu@lreis.ac.cn
更新日期/Last Update: 2022-12-15