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区域产业结构高级化对旅游经济的时空影响(
)
《南京师大学报（自然科学版）》[ISSN:1001-4616/CN:32-1239/N]
- 卷:
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第44卷
- 期数:
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2021年03期
- 页码:
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77-83
- 栏目:
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·地理学·
- 出版日期:
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2021-09-15
文章信息/Info
- Title:
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Spatial-Temporal Impact of Optimization of RegionalIndustrial Structure on Tourism Economy
- 文章编号:
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1001-4616(2021)03-0077-07
- 作者:
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祝 晔; 殷红卫
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南京工业职业技术大学经济管理学院,江苏 南京 210023
- Author(s):
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Zhu Ye; Yin Hongwei
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School of Economics and Management,Nanjing Vocational University of Industry Technology,Nanjing 210023,China
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- 关键词:
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- Keywords:
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- 分类号:
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K902,F59
- DOI:
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10.3969/j.issn.1001-4616.2021.03.012
- 文献标志码:
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A
- 摘要:
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以中国大陆1998—2018年产业发展与旅游经济的相关数据为例,综合重心轨迹分析、空间自相关分析、格兰杰因果检验及脉冲响应函数等方法,分析区域产业结构高级化对旅游经济的时空影响. 研究发现:从长期看,区域产业结构高级化与旅游经济之间存在惟一的动态协整关系,产业结构高级化对旅游经济增长具有单向的格兰杰因果关系,对旅游经济的动态影响大致呈“倒V字”型. 两者重心趋于集聚,表明空间耦合关系不断增强; 双变量空间自相关分析显示区域产业结构高级化对旅游经济的影响总体为正,并且呈现出微弱的上升趋势; 产业结构高级化对旅游经济的局部影响具有显著的空间分异:以江苏为中心的东南沿海地区,两者基本形成较为良性的协同发展机制; 以新疆为中心的西北地区,产业结构与旅游业发展处于低水平均衡状态. 根据区域产业结构高级化与旅游经济均值的局部空间相关指数,从产业视角为区域旅游发展提供了相关建议.
- Abstract:
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Taking the data about industrial development and tourism economy in Chinese Mainland from 1998 to 2018 as an example,this paper comprehensively uses the methods of gravity center trajectory,bivariate spatial autocorrelation,Granger causality test and impulse response function to analyze the spatial-temporal impact of optimization of regional industrial structure on tourism economy. The main conclusions are as follows:firstly,in the long run,there exists dynamic cointegration relationship between optimization of regional industrial structure and tourism economy. The optimization of industrial structure has a one-way Granger causal relationship with tourism economic growth,and its dynamic impact on tourism economy roughly presents inverted V-shaped. Their gravity centers tend to converge,and the spatial coupling relationship is increasing. Secondly,bivariate spatial autocorrelation analysis shows that:the overall impact of optimization of regional industrial structure on tourism economy is positive,and shows a weak upward trend. Thirdly,the local impact of optimization of industrial structure on tourism economy has significant spatial differentiation:industrial structure and tourism economy basically form a more benign cooperative development mechanism,such as in the southeast coastal areas with Jiangsu as the center; however,they present a low-level equilibrium state,such as in the northwest areas with Xinjiang as the center. According to the local spatial correlation index between the average value of optimization of regional industrial structure and tourism economy,this paper provides some suggestions for regional tourism development from the perspective of industry.
更新日期/Last Update:
2021-09-15