[1]石 磊,王 锋.基于事故树分析法的我国马拉松大众选手猝死风险研究[J].南京师范大学学报(自然科学版),2018,41(04):140.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-4616.2018.04.022]
　Shi Lei,Wang Feng.Accident Tree Analysis on the Risk of Sudden Death ofChinese Marathon Mass Athletes[J].Journal of Nanjing Normal University(Natural Science Edition),2018,41(04):140.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-4616.2018.04.022]
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基于事故树分析法的我国马拉松大众选手猝死风险研究()
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《南京师范大学学报》（自然科学版）[ISSN:1001-4616/CN:32-1239/N]

卷:
第41卷
期数:
2018年04期
页码:
140
栏目:
·体育学·
出版日期:
2018-12-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Accident Tree Analysis on the Risk of Sudden Death ofChinese Marathon Mass Athletes
文章编号:
1001-4616(2018)04-0140-07
作者:
石 磊1; 王 锋2
(1.天津师范大学体育科学学院,天津 300387)(2.天津美术学院公共基础课教学部,天津 300381)
Author(s):
Shi Lei1; Wang Feng2
(1.School of Sports Sciences,Tianjin Normal University,Tianjin 300387,China)(2.Department of Common Curriculum Teaching,Tianjin Academy of Fine Arts,Tianjin 300381,China)
关键词:
马拉松; 猝死; 风险; 事故树
Keywords:
the Marathon; sudden death; risk; accident tree
分类号:
G808.22
DOI:
10.3969/j.issn.1001-4616.2018.04.022
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
针对近年来我国频繁出现的马拉松猝死事件,本研究运用专家访谈法、事故树分析法等研究方法从风险管理的角度探究导致马拉松猝死发生的主要原因,进而提出相应的防控策略,为促进我国马拉松赛事健康有序的发展提供有益的理论支持. 结果表明,马拉松猝死事故树模型共包括11项基本事件,并运用布尔代数法求得最小割集有12个,最小径集有5个; 通过对马拉松猝死事故树最小径集和结构重要度分析可知,“高估自身体质”、“盲目追求成绩和完赛”、“对项目危险性缺乏认识”三项基本事件是马拉松猝死发生的重点; 针对风险分析的结果,提出应健全路跑赛事项目设置体系、建立合理的晋级参赛体系、建立完善的线上培训体系及合理优化关门时间4项策略,有助于减少马拉松猝死事件的发生.
Abstract:
With regard to the sudden death of Marathon in China in recent years,this study uses expert interview method,accident tree analysis method and other research methods to explore the main causes of sudden death in Marathon from the perspective of risk management. Then put forward the corresponding prevention and control strategy and provide useful theoretical support for promoting the healthy and orderly development of Chinese Marathon events. The results show that the Marathon sudden death tree model contains 11 basic events and obtain a minimum cut set of 12,the most path set of 5 by using Boolean algebra method. Through the analysis of the minimum trail set and structural importance of the Marathon sudden death accident tree,we know that the three basic events of“overestimating one’s own constitution”,“blindly pursuing achievements and completing the game”,and“lack of understanding of the project’s danger”are the focuses of preventing and controlling the occurrence of sudden death in the Marathon. In view of the results of risk analysis,this paper puts forward four strategies to help to reduce the occurrence of sudden death in Marathon,which are improving the setting system of road running events,establishing a reasonable promotion entry system,establishing a perfect online training system and optimizing the closing time.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2017-11-13.
基金项目:教育部人文社会科学青年基金项目(15YJC890030).
通讯联系人:石磊,副教授,研究方向:田径运动教学与训练、体育赛事管理. E-mail:shileitjsd@163.com
更新日期/Last Update: 2018-12-30